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Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona

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Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona Empty Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona

Post by Wyatt Earp Fri Sep 09, 2022 7:18 pm

After 627 responses, Emerson found Lake exactly tied with Hobbs, 46.1-46.1.

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/arizona-2022-mark-kelly-faces-tight-race-with-blake-masters-katie-hobbs-and-kari-lake-in-dead-heat-for-governorship/


But the crosstabs show Hobbs winning rural voters 46-43. Lake only wins the white vote 49-45. Those two things are not going to happen.

With Biden at 53% disapproval, Hobbs and R. Kelly ran into their ceiling at 46-47%. Lake will turn out enough Republicans for Masters to win.
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Post by Calypso Jones Fri Oct 07, 2022 10:33 am

OReilly on Beck this am says she'll lose. Has Bill O'reilly gotten anything right in the past 6 years? or ever?
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Post by Great American Fri Oct 07, 2022 12:04 pm

Calypso Jones wrote:OReilly on Beck this am says she'll lose.   Has Bill O'reilly gotten anything right in the past 6 years?  or ever?

O'Reilly is nuts! She will WIN BIGGLY!
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Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona Empty Re: Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona

Post by Wyatt Earp Fri Oct 07, 2022 2:48 pm

Calypso Jones wrote:OReilly on Beck this am says she'll lose.   Has Bill O'reilly gotten anything right in the past 6 years?  or ever?
It's more obvious at this point that Lake will win than when I created this thread. Rich Baris found Lake ahead by 3.7, meaning she increased her lead since August. https://creativedestructionmedia.com/news/politics/2022/10/07/cdmedia-big-data-poll-kari-lake-leads-katie-hobbs-for-arizona-governor/

Better to compare apples to apples than to throw a firm coming out of nowhere like CNN/SRSS into a group and average them.

Masters? Down 0.6. But he just won the debate yesterday, so I'm also more confident he will take the lead before November. Not in public polling, because they want him to lose too badly to ever show him ahead, but it will be an upset like Susan Collins vs. Sara Gideon.

I'm not a fan of Bill O'Reilly. He seems too liberal to me.
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Post by Great American Fri Oct 07, 2022 5:15 pm

Wyatt Earp wrote:
Calypso Jones wrote:OReilly on Beck this am says she'll lose.   Has Bill O'reilly gotten anything right in the past 6 years?  or ever?
It's more obvious at this point that Lake will win than when I created this thread. Rich Baris found Lake ahead by 3.7, meaning she increased her lead since August. https://creativedestructionmedia.com/news/politics/2022/10/07/cdmedia-big-data-poll-kari-lake-leads-katie-hobbs-for-arizona-governor/

Better to compare apples to apples than to throw a firm coming out of nowhere like CNN/SRSS into a group and average them.

Masters? Down 0.6. But he just won the debate yesterday, so I'm also more confident he will take the lead before November. Not in public polling, because they want him to lose too badly to ever show him ahead, but it will be an upset like Susan Collins vs. Sara Gideon.

I'm not a fan of Bill O'Reilly. He seems too liberal to me.

This is all very good news. Thanks.

O'Reilly is an odd duck. He can be right a lot of the time and then just pop off with stupid stuff.
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Post by Marxist_Marla Fri Oct 07, 2022 6:32 pm

Emerson College Polling is fake news.
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Post by Calypso Jones Fri Oct 07, 2022 9:33 pm

She may have just won with this video. Pass it along.

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Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona Empty Re: Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona

Post by 2cent Sat Oct 08, 2022 2:51 pm

Wyatt Earp wrote:After 627 responses, Emerson found Lake exactly tied with Hobbs, 46.1-46.1.
Did Palmer show up?

<ducks & runs>

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