Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona
5 posters
Page 1 of 1
Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona
After 627 responses, Emerson found Lake exactly tied with Hobbs, 46.1-46.1.
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/arizona-2022-mark-kelly-faces-tight-race-with-blake-masters-katie-hobbs-and-kari-lake-in-dead-heat-for-governorship/
But the crosstabs show Hobbs winning rural voters 46-43. Lake only wins the white vote 49-45. Those two things are not going to happen.
With Biden at 53% disapproval, Hobbs and R. Kelly ran into their ceiling at 46-47%. Lake will turn out enough Republicans for Masters to win.
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/arizona-2022-mark-kelly-faces-tight-race-with-blake-masters-katie-hobbs-and-kari-lake-in-dead-heat-for-governorship/
But the crosstabs show Hobbs winning rural voters 46-43. Lake only wins the white vote 49-45. Those two things are not going to happen.
With Biden at 53% disapproval, Hobbs and R. Kelly ran into their ceiling at 46-47%. Lake will turn out enough Republicans for Masters to win.
Wyatt Earp- Posts : 266
Points : 1680
Reputation : 38
Join date : 2021-04-10
Location : Arizona
HawkTheSlayer likes this post
Re: Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona
OReilly on Beck this am says she'll lose. Has Bill O'reilly gotten anything right in the past 6 years? or ever?
Calypso Jones- Posts : 28947
Points : 39028
Reputation : 576
Join date : 2021-02-08
Age : 24
Re: Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona
Calypso Jones wrote:OReilly on Beck this am says she'll lose. Has Bill O'reilly gotten anything right in the past 6 years? or ever?
O'Reilly is nuts! She will WIN BIGGLY!
Re: Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona
It's more obvious at this point that Lake will win than when I created this thread. Rich Baris found Lake ahead by 3.7, meaning she increased her lead since August. https://creativedestructionmedia.com/news/politics/2022/10/07/cdmedia-big-data-poll-kari-lake-leads-katie-hobbs-for-arizona-governor/Calypso Jones wrote:OReilly on Beck this am says she'll lose. Has Bill O'reilly gotten anything right in the past 6 years? or ever?
Better to compare apples to apples than to throw a firm coming out of nowhere like CNN/SRSS into a group and average them.
Masters? Down 0.6. But he just won the debate yesterday, so I'm also more confident he will take the lead before November. Not in public polling, because they want him to lose too badly to ever show him ahead, but it will be an upset like Susan Collins vs. Sara Gideon.
I'm not a fan of Bill O'Reilly. He seems too liberal to me.
Wyatt Earp- Posts : 266
Points : 1680
Reputation : 38
Join date : 2021-04-10
Location : Arizona
Calypso Jones and Great American like this post
Re: Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona
Wyatt Earp wrote:It's more obvious at this point that Lake will win than when I created this thread. Rich Baris found Lake ahead by 3.7, meaning she increased her lead since August. https://creativedestructionmedia.com/news/politics/2022/10/07/cdmedia-big-data-poll-kari-lake-leads-katie-hobbs-for-arizona-governor/Calypso Jones wrote:OReilly on Beck this am says she'll lose. Has Bill O'reilly gotten anything right in the past 6 years? or ever?
Better to compare apples to apples than to throw a firm coming out of nowhere like CNN/SRSS into a group and average them.
Masters? Down 0.6. But he just won the debate yesterday, so I'm also more confident he will take the lead before November. Not in public polling, because they want him to lose too badly to ever show him ahead, but it will be an upset like Susan Collins vs. Sara Gideon.
I'm not a fan of Bill O'Reilly. He seems too liberal to me.
This is all very good news. Thanks.
O'Reilly is an odd duck. He can be right a lot of the time and then just pop off with stupid stuff.
Re: Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona
Emerson College Polling is fake news.
Marxist_Marla- Posts : 166
Points : 961
Reputation : 1
Join date : 2022-09-26
Location : Your mother's basement
Re: Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona
She may have just won with this video. Pass it along.
Calypso Jones- Posts : 28947
Points : 39028
Reputation : 576
Join date : 2021-02-08
Age : 24
Re: Kari Lake favored to win in Arizona
Did Palmer show up?Wyatt Earp wrote:After 627 responses, Emerson found Lake exactly tied with Hobbs, 46.1-46.1.
<ducks & runs>
2cent- Posts : 8733
Points : 10825
Reputation : 395
Join date : 2021-02-28
Similar topics
» Kari Lake...awesome. Next governor of Arizona
» Kari Lake Wins Arizona GOP Gubernatorial Primary
» Kari Lake for Governor of AZ: TV ad.
» Kari Lake zings former Jebby Bush lackey Tim Miller
» Hilliary attacks Kari Lake...big mistake
» Kari Lake Wins Arizona GOP Gubernatorial Primary
» Kari Lake for Governor of AZ: TV ad.
» Kari Lake zings former Jebby Bush lackey Tim Miller
» Hilliary attacks Kari Lake...big mistake
Page 1 of 1
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum